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What would happen if everyone stopped eating meat?

What would happen if everyone stopped eating meat?
A large drop in agricultural emissions and land use, offset by disruption to a billion livelihoods and some regions with no alternative.
Reasoned extrapolation

Livestock account for a substantial share of agricultural greenhouse gas emissions, with ruminant methane the largest single component, and they occupy a majority of the world's agricultural land while supplying a minority of its calories. A global shift away from meat would therefore free very large areas of pasture — much of which is not suitable for crops and would revert to grassland or forest, absorbing carbon — and reduce methane emissions sharply within a decade, since atmospheric methane has a lifetime of about twelve years. The costs are concentrated rather than diffuse: several hundred million people depend on livestock for income, and in arid and mountainous regions grazing animals convert vegetation humans cannot eat into food on land that grows nothing else. Nutritional consequences would be manageable in wealthy countries and harder elsewhere, with vitamin B12, iron and zinc requiring deliberate fortification. The uncertainty is not the physical accounting but the transition.

How confident this is

This is a reasoned extrapolation rather than an observation. The mechanism is understood, but the scale of the consequences depends on assumptions that could reasonably be argued differently.

Society

Common questions

What would happen if everyone stopped eating meat?
A large drop in agricultural emissions and land use, offset by disruption to a billion livelihoods and some regions with no alternative.
How certain is that?
Reasoned extrapolation. This is a reasoned extrapolation rather than an observation. The mechanism is understood, but the scale of the consequences depends on assumptions that could reasonably be argued differently.

Related pages

Sources

  1. World Health Organization — WHO

How these figures are compiled and checked