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What would happen if GPS stopped working?

What would happen if GPS stopped working?
Timing, not navigation, is the real dependency — mobile networks, power grids and financial systems all use GPS clocks.
Reasoned extrapolation

Satellite navigation systems broadcast an extremely precise time signal, and that signal has quietly become the world's reference clock. Mobile networks use it to synchronise base stations, power grids use it to timestamp phasor measurements across long distances, financial exchanges use it to order transactions to regulatory requirements, and broadcasters use it to keep transmitters aligned. Losing it degrades all of those on different timescales, since most systems hold local oscillators that drift slowly — hours to days of holdover before errors accumulate. The navigation loss is the visible part and the more recoverable one: aviation and shipping retain inertial and radio navigation, and road transport falls back on maps. This is not purely hypothetical, since regional GPS jamming and spoofing are now routine in several parts of the world, and a 2016 ground software error that put a 13-microsecond offset into the constellation caused measurable disruption to telecoms.

How confident this is

This is a reasoned extrapolation rather than an observation. The mechanism is understood, but the scale of the consequences depends on assumptions that could reasonably be argued differently.

Everyday systems

Common questions

What would happen if GPS stopped working?
Timing, not navigation, is the real dependency — mobile networks, power grids and financial systems all use GPS clocks.
How certain is that?
Reasoned extrapolation. This is a reasoned extrapolation rather than an observation. The mechanism is understood, but the scale of the consequences depends on assumptions that could reasonably be argued differently.

Related pages

Sources

  1. NASA — National Aeronautics and Space Administration (Public domain (US Government))

How these figures are compiled and checked