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How many fish are there in the sea?

How many fish are there in the sea?
somewhere between 3 trillion and 100 trillion — nobody knows
Bristlemouths of the genus Cyclothone are probably the most numerous vertebrates on Earth, quite possibly outnumbering every other fish combined, and almost nobody has heard of them.

This is the entry on this page with the worst-known answer, and pretending otherwise would be dishonest. The commonly repeated figure of 3.5 trillion has no strong provenance. What is measured is biomass rather than headcount: mesopelagic fish — the small lanternfish and bristlemouths of the twilight zone — were revised upward around 2014 from about 1 billion tonnes to perhaps 10 billion tonnes on the strength of better acoustic surveys, a tenfold change in a single decade. Divide an uncertain biomass by an uncertain average fish mass and the uncertainty compounds.

How the figure is arrived at

Ship-mounted echosounders measure how strongly the water column scatters sound; that scattering is converted to biomass using a target-strength model for fish swim bladders. The swim-bladder assumption is where the tenfold revision came from. Trawl catches calibrate the acoustic figures but under-sample fast-swimming fish badly.

How confident it is

Low estimate
3,000,000,000,000
High estimate
100,000,000,000,000
Spread
33.3× between the bounds

Other living things and the natural world counts

Common questions

How many fish are there in the sea?
somewhere between 3 trillion and 100 trillion — nobody knows
How is that estimated?
Ship-mounted echosounders measure how strongly the water column scatters sound; that scattering is converted to biomass using a target-strength model for fish swim bladders. The swim-bladder assumption is where the tenfold revision came from. Trawl catches calibrate the acoustic figures but under-sample fast-swimming fish badly.

Related pages

Sources

  1. Typical range compiled from manufacturer specifications — At One Place

How these figures are compiled and checked