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How many people have ever lived?

How many people have ever lived?
about 117 billion
About one person in fourteen who has ever been born is alive today. Roughly a quarter of the 117 billion lived and died before the invention of agriculture.

The Population Reference Bureau puts the number of Homo sapiens ever born at roughly 117 billion, counting from about 190,000 BC. The living 8.2 billion are therefore about 7% of everyone who has ever existed. The popular claim that the living outnumber the dead has never been true and is not close. The estimate is sensitive to infant mortality assumptions: for most of human history close to half of all children died before age five, and those short lives dominate the count.

How the figure is arrived at

Pick a start date and a starting population, then step forward through history applying an assumed birth rate to an assumed population at each stage. The birth rate matters far more than the population does — a hunter-gatherer world of a few million people with a birth rate of 80 per thousand contributes an enormous number of births over 150,000 years.

How confident it is

Low estimate
100,000,000,000
High estimate
130,000,000,000
Spread
1.3× between the bounds

Other living things and the natural world counts

Common questions

How many people have ever lived?
about 117 billion
How is that estimated?
Pick a start date and a starting population, then step forward through history applying an assumed birth rate to an assumed population at each stage. The birth rate matters far more than the population does — a hunter-gatherer world of a few million people with a birth rate of 80 per thousand contributes an enormous number of births over 150,000 years.

Related pages

Sources

  1. Typical range compiled from manufacturer specifications — At One Place

How these figures are compiled and checked