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How many nuclear weapons are there?

How many nuclear weapons are there?
about 12,200 warheads
The world holds about one and a half warheads for every million people alive. A single modern warhead can be more than fifty times the yield of the Hiroshima bomb.

Nine countries hold roughly 12,200 nuclear warheads between them, of which about 9,600 are in military stockpiles and the remainder are retired and awaiting dismantlement. Russia and the United States hold about 88% of the total. The peak was around 70,300 warheads in 1986, so the stockpile has fallen by more than 80% — but the decline has now stalled and several arsenals are growing again. Roughly 2,100 warheads are kept on high operational alert.

How the figure is arrived at

No government publishes a full inventory, so the standard figures are reconstructions: treaty declarations under New START, satellite imagery of storage and deployment sites, fissile material production histories, and defence budget line items. The uncertainty is a few hundred warheads, concentrated in the arsenals that disclose nothing.

How confident it is

Low estimate
12,000
High estimate
12,500
Spread
1.0× between the bounds

Other things people built counts

Common questions

How many nuclear weapons are there?
about 12,200 warheads
How is that estimated?
No government publishes a full inventory, so the standard figures are reconstructions: treaty declarations under New START, satellite imagery of storage and deployment sites, fissile material production histories, and defence budget line items. The uncertainty is a few hundred warheads, concentrated in the arsenals that disclose nothing.

Related pages

Sources

  1. Typical range compiled from manufacturer specifications — At One Place

How these figures are compiled and checked