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What would happen if the Earth lost the Moon?

What would happen if the Earth lost the Moon?
Tides would drop to about a third, nights would be dark, and Earth's axial tilt would eventually wander.
Reasoned extrapolation

The Moon raises roughly twice the tide the Sun does, so losing it would leave solar tides only — around a third of the current range, with the largest coastal effects on ecosystems tuned to the intertidal zone. Nights would become genuinely dark, with only starlight, which would alter the behaviour of a large number of nocturnal species. The most significant long-term change is stabilisation: the Moon's torque damps variation in Earth's axial tilt, and modelling suggests that without it the obliquity would wander chaotically over tens of millions of years, potentially over tens of degrees, driving climate swings far larger than anything in the current record. Day length would also stop increasing, since the 1.7 milliseconds per century of lengthening comes from tidal friction with the Moon, which is simultaneously receding at about 3.8 centimetres a year. None of this is sudden — the tidal and lighting changes would be immediate, the axial effects geological.

What happens, in order

When What
Immediately Tidal range falls to roughly a third; nights become starlit only
Years Intertidal ecosystems and nocturnal species behaviour disrupted
Millions of years Axial tilt begins to wander without lunar stabilisation

How confident this is

This is a reasoned extrapolation rather than an observation. The mechanism is understood, but the scale of the consequences depends on assumptions that could reasonably be argued differently.

The Earth

Common questions

What would happen if the Earth lost the Moon?
Tides would drop to about a third, nights would be dark, and Earth's axial tilt would eventually wander.
How certain is that?
Reasoned extrapolation. This is a reasoned extrapolation rather than an observation. The mechanism is understood, but the scale of the consequences depends on assumptions that could reasonably be argued differently.

Related pages

Sources

  1. NASA — National Aeronautics and Space Administration (Public domain (US Government))

How these figures are compiled and checked